The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning (Science Studies)

The Plausibility of Future Scenarios: Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning (Science Studies)
by: Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele (Author)
Publisher:transcript publishing
Publication Date: January 19, 2021
Language:English
Print Length:264 pages
ISBN-10:3837653196
ISBN-13:9783837653199
Book Description
What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept’s ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research.Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development.
About the Author
What does plausibility mean in relation to scenario planning and how do users of scenarios assess it? Despite the concept’s ubiquity, its epistemological and empirical foundations remain unexplored in previous research.Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele offers an interdisciplinary perspective: she presents approaches from philosophy of sciences, cognitive psychology, narrative theory and linguistics, and tests key hypotheses in an experimental study. A conceptual map lays out indicators for scenario plausibility and explains how assessments vary across scenario methods. This helps researchers and practitioners to better understand the implications of their methodological choices in scenario development. Read more